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VICTORIAN BUDGET 18/19
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Home / Budget 2018/19 / Strong financial management

Strong financial management

Metro train at station

The Victorian Budget 2018/19 maintains the Government’s investment in the services and infrastructure our state needs, while prudently managing our finances.

The 2018/19 operating surplus is estimated to be $1.4 billion, with surpluses averaging $2.5 billion over the forward estimates. The Government has maintained this strong financial position by ensuring average revenue growth over the next four years remains higher than average expense growth.

As with all the budgets delivered by the Andrews Labor Government, net debt as a proportion of the economy is projected to be lower than the level in the previous government’s final year in office.

The Government’s strong financial management, coupled with Victoria’s surging economy, is consistent with maintaining our triple-A credit rating.

But most importantly, this Budget is getting things done for Victorians.

 

  • Strong fiscal and economic management

  • Victoria’s economic growth is the strongest of all the states. Over the past three years, growth has averaged 3.2% a year. This represents a return to the rates of growth last experienced before the global financial crisis.
  • The clearest measure of the strength of the Victorian economy is the number of jobs that have been created – more than 333,900 since the Andrews Labor Government came to office, with employment growing at an above-trend rate for four years.
  • Victoria’s finances are also in a very strong position. As a result of the Andrews Labor Government’s clear and responsible fiscal framework, Victoria remains one of only 10 sub-sovereign governments in the world to receive a triple-A credit rating by S&P and Moody’s.
Victorian Economic Forecasts (per cent) 2016/17 actual 2017/18 forecast 2018/19 forecast 2019/20 forecast 2020/21 projection 2021/22 projection
Real gross state product 3.3 3.00 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75
Employment 3.9 2.75 2.00 1.75 1.75 1.75
Unemployment 5.9 5.75 5.75 5.50 5.50 5.50
Consumer price index 1.9 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.50 2.50
Wage price index 2.0 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
Population 2.3 2.30 2.20 2.10 2.00 2.00

Sources: Department of Treasury and Finance, Australian Bureau of Statistics

General Government Fiscal Aggregates Unit of measure 2016/17 actual 2017/18 revised 2018/19 budget 2019/20 estimate 2020/21 estimate 2021/22 estimate
Net result from transactions $ billion 2.7 2.0 1.4 2.0 2.7 2.9
Government infrastructure investment $ billion 9.1 11.6 13.7 10.0 8.9 7.6
Net debt $ billion 15.8 19.6 24.3 28.0 29.8 31.4
Net debt to GSP per cent 3.9 4.6 5.4 5.9 6.0 6.0

Sources: Department of Treasury and Finance

Investment of Snowy Hydro Limited proceeds

Following the success of the $9.7 billion lease of the operations of the Port of Melbourne, the Government recently agreed to terms for the sale of Victoria’s share of Snowy Hydro Limited to the Commonwealth for $2.1 billion. The Government has invested more than half the proceeds of this sale in various regional infrastructure initiatives including roads, public transport, and hospitals, to enhance the productive capacity of the state.

Table 1: Infrastructure projects funded from Snowy Hydro Limited proceeds

Projects Expenditure/Capital funding ($ million)

Regional Victoria

Road restoration blitz
Fixing country roads (a) 100
Regional road restoration and maintenance (b) 168
Public transport
Shepparton Line Upgrade - Stage 2 313
Regional health services
Ballarat Base Hospital expansion and redevelopment 462
Wonthaggi Hospital expansion 115
Total regional specific investment 1,158
School capital investment
Land acquisition 155
New schools construction 273
Planning for schools 17
School  upgrades 483
Total school capital investment 929
Grand Total 2,086
Snowy Hydro Limited proceeds 2,077

Notes:
(a) Output funding in 2018-19 and 2019-20.
(b) Asset component.

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Creating jobs and a strong economy
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